Although the junior welterweight title bout between Danny Garcia (26-0, 16 KO's) and Lucas Matthysse (34-2, 32 KO's) is on the undercard of the Floyd Mayweather-Saul Alvarez junior middleweight championship fight, it reads like a main event.
It has all of the ingredients that you want in a title fight. In one corner, you have an undefeated champion (Garcia) putting his "0" on the line. In the other corner, you have a hungry, often-avoided challenger (Matthysse) with scintillating punching power.
This is indeed a tough one to call.
When in doubt, I have to pull out my fight predictor for "hard-to-predict" bouts like these.
And the verdict reads:
In truly a pick-'em fight, Garcia has solid advantages in ring generalship and speed. As a result, he also has a slight advantage in terms of defense.
However, Matthysse has a huge advantage in terms of punching power and solid advantages in terms of strength and competition to-date.
Speed usually kills, but Garcia's sometimes inconsistent defense will make him susceptible to Matthysse's bombs.
The (Matthysse) power advantage will lead him to victory (by late TKO) in what may be the most exciting bout of the night.